Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.48	3.45	2.77
	2.38	3.2	2.62
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.02)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.66 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
38.2%

Draw
27.6%

Al-Najma
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's form might have worsened.

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Najma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Najma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Al Arabi Al Saudi - Al Najma Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Al-Najma will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Al Mutairi F. ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, Sow S. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Mbengue A. ⚽,
90+3', Yabes M. A. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Al-Arabi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Najma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Arabi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Arabi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Arabi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
25.02.25	Al-Ain - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jubail	3:1 ✺
11.02.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:3 ✺
05.02.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Abha - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLL
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Division 1
24.02.25	Al-Najma - Al-Faisaly	3:0 ✺
19.02.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Al-Najma - Al Jandal	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Al-Najma - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Al-Batin - Al-Najma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.10.24	Al-Najma - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:0
05.03.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Najma	5:2
02.10.23	Al-Najma - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Najma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide