Match Info

QSL - Round 13

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Al-Arabi Doha		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.75	2.68
	2.2	3.94	2.77	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.18	3.7	2.7	Watch
	2.22	3.8	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)	3.74 ↓ (3.78)	2.72 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Doha
41.8%

Draw
24.5%

Al-Gharafa
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Al Arabi Doha - Al Gharafa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hassan Y. (G) 12. Al Salati A. 19. Laye G. 25. Perez A. 3. Al Naimi M. 8. Fathi A. (C) 21. Veretout J. 10. Rodri 7. Sarabia P. 80. Lihadji I. 14. Olunga M.	1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 42. Sano S. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 6. Traore D. 11. Surag A. 18. Al Oui A. 29. Diaz F. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 7. Coman F. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 9. Joselu
Substitutes
23. Aladin H. 15. Al Obaidli F. 16. Hernandez G. 29. Hernandez J. 27. Moein Doozandeh A. 44. Mohamad H. 30. Mohamed Saeed (G) 2. Muftah Y. 17. Reda S. 24. Sherif M. 5. Simo 18. Toko Ekambi K.	57. Al Khlif Y. M. 17. Boussafi R. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. 23. Fadlalla S. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 80. Ktit Z. 40. Lecomte C. (G) 12. Normann M. 22. Sudarmanto A.
Coaches
Contra C.	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
24', Al Naimi M. 🟨,
27', Coman F. 🟨,
31', Coman F. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
45+3', Fathi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Olunga M. ↓, Toko Ekambi K. ↑,
64', Al Naimi M. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sarabia P. ⚽, Veretout J. (A),
69', Sano S. 🟨,
71', Surag A. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
71', Al-Ali R. A. ↓, Fadlalla S. ↑,
72', Djalo A. ↓, Normann M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Hamed J. ⚽, Joselu (A),
80', Lihadji I. ↓, Aladin H. ↑,
84', Joselu 🟥,
90+1', Normann M. 🟨,
90+1', Al Oui A. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Arabi	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
9	Al Gharafa	4	1	1	2	4:8	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Arabi Doha - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Doha SC
Qatar QSL
07.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Arabi Doha	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Rayyan	2:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
13.12.25	Muaither - Al-Arabi Doha	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Arabi Doha	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al-Khor - Al-Arabi Doha	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLW
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
06.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
13.12.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.11.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
22.08.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	2:1
04.04.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:3
31.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	3:1
30.03.24	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	0:1
03.11.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	5:4
04.05.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	3:0
13.03.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	0:1

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