Match Info

QSL - Round 11

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Shoof


	Al-Shahania		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.35	1.52
	4.71	4.72	1.55	Watch
	4.6	4.33	1.53
	5.11	4.3	1.49	Watch
	4.75	4.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.24)	4.39 ↓ (4.78)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shahania
19.1%

Draw
20.9%

Al-Gharafa
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

19.5%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

18.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shahania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shahania than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Al Shahania - Al Gharafa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Ellethy S. (G) 2. Simo 22. van Beek S. 5. Muniesa M. (C) 32. Muftah K. 88. Mutasem M. 6. Sanz A. 4. Sayyar M. 8. Madjer L. 21. El Jemili J. 9. van Amersfoort P.	1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 42. Sano S. 17. Boussafi R. 6. Traore D. 33. Abdulnasir C. 24. Gunnarsson A. 29. Diaz F. 11. Surag A. 14. Djalo A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 9. Joselu
Substitutes
15. Abdo E. 96. Al Raeesi Y. 25. Al Ruweli B. 30. Al Wadie M. 17. Al Yazidi K. 10. Antonucci F. 19. Balah M. 3. Diakite D. 44. Jorge A. 16. Kadik M. (G) 24. Kamal H. 7. Mussed A.	45. Al Ashwal W. 57. Al Khilif Y. 19. Al Zarra J. 7. Coman F. 5. Essam M. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 80. Ktit Z. 40. Lecomte C. (G) 22. Sudarmanto A.
Coaches
Montazeri P.	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sayyar M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Sayyar M. ⚽, van Amersfoort P. (A),
36', Abdulnasir C. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
44', El Jemili J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', van Amersfoort P. 🟨,
54', Djalo A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
54', Boussafi R. ↓, Ktit Z. ↑,
63', Coman F. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Madjer L. ⚽, Mutasem M. (A),
67', Sano S. 🟨,
83', El Jemili J. ↓, Antonucci F. ↑,
83', Mutasem M. ↓, Al Wadie M. ↑,
90', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Jorge A. ↑,
90+2', Madjer L. ↓, Kamal H. ↑,
90+4', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Shahania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Shahania has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Gharafa is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shahania won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shahania SC
Qatar QSL Cup
14.12.25	Al-Shahania - Al Duhail	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Lusail City - Al-Shahania	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shahania	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
23.11.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania	4:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
14.11.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shahania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLW
- Al-Gharafa SC
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
13.12.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.11.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.11.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
14.11.25	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
18.04.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	1:2
08.12.24	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	2:4
Qatar Emir Cup
09.04.23	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	4:3 penalties
Qatar QFA Cup
20.04.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	2:1
Qatar Emir Cup
26.01.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	3:2 penalties
Qatar QSL
03.01.20	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	2:1
22.08.19	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	3:0

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