Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Vietnam	K+ Action, K+, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Al-Gharafa		Al-Wahda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.7	1.88	Watch
	3.77	3.95	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	3.77	3.77	1.94	Watch
	3.66	3.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.34)	3.76 ↓ (3.77)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
25.4%

Draw
24.8%

Al-Wahda
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

24.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Al Gharafa - Al Wahda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Wahda will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Wahda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 42. Sano S. 6. Traore D. 23. Fadlalla S. 29. Diaz F. 24. Gunnarsson A. 99. Hamed J. 14. Djalo A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 7. Coman F.	1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 32. Guga 3. Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 31. Ivkovic S. 19. Amaral R. 94. Diarra B. 25. Jadsom 12. Hamad A. 11. Kruspzky F. 10. Tadic D. (C) 7. Caio Canedo
Substitutes
33. Abdulnasir C. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 45. Al Ashwal W. 19. Al Zarra J. 17. Boussafi R. 5. Essam M. 9. Joselu 21. Kahiout H. (G) 40. Lecomte C. (G) 4. Saei A. 22. Sudarmanto A. 11. Surag A.	60. Abaelaziz B. 80. Abdullah A. 36. Ahmed Z. (G) 8. Al Balushi A. 68. Ali M. 15. Dehghan M. 6. Ghorbani M. 70. Khribin O. M. 88. Lazovic D. 30. Ogbu F. I. 38. Pradas A. 27. Trayi L.
Coaches
Martins P.	Dimas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Traore D. 🟨,
44', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hamed J. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
48', Sano S. 🟨,
52', Al Shamsi M. 🟥,
57', Brahimi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Traore D. 🟨,
63', Coman F. ↓, Joselu ↑,
66', Caio Canedo ↓, Ghorbani M. ↑,
75', Kruspzky F. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
75', Jadsom ↓, Khribin O. M. ↑,
85', Tadic D. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Sano S. ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
87', Djalo A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
88', Khalifa A. B. 🟨,
90+1', Brahimi Y. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Wahda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL Cup
13.12.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.11.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.11.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
14.11.25	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
07.11.25	Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW
- Al-Wahda FC
UAE League Cup
13.12.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Jazira	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
UAE League Cup
05.12.25	Al-Jazira - Al-Wahda	0:3 ✺
30.11.25	Khor Fakkan - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Sadd	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW

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