Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 17

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Neom

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.75	3.4	2.37
	2.72	3.4	2.38
	2.72	3.68	2.35	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.3
	2.74	3.32	2.31	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)	3.4 ↓ (3.54)	2.34 (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
33.9%

Draw
26.9%

Neom
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

26.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Neom Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Neom will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 15. Nkota M. 70. Khateeb A. A. (C) 4. Hendry J. 5. Calvo F. 6. Al Ghamdi F. 11. Duda O. 10. Medran A. 18. Costa J. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 17. Al Ghannam K.	81. Maximiano L. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 26. Hegazy A. (C) 44. Zeze N. 27. Hawsawi I. 22. Bouabre S. 72. Kone A. 18. Hejji A. 10. Benrahma S. 19. Rodriguez L. 91. Lacazette A.
Substitutes
29. Al Ghamdi Z. 7. Ali M. 61. Al Otaibi R. 58. Al Shammari Y. 87. Al Sibyani M. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 37. Hindi A. 3. Madu A. 8. Wijnaldum G.	71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 40. Al Asmari A. 2. Al Burayk M. 7. Al Faraj S. 93. Al Saluli A. 95. Fallatah A. 1. Malayekah M. (G) 24. Noor A.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.	Galtier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Dawran M. M. Y. ↓, Wijnaldum G. ↑,
59', Costa J. ↓, Al Otaibi R. ↑,
68', Benrahma S. ↓, Al Faraj S. ↑,
68', Hejji A. ↓, Noor A. ↑,
74', Hendry J. 🟨,
81', Lacazette A. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
82', Nkota M. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
88', Medran A. 🟨,
90+1', Calvo F. 🟨,
90+5', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

Al-Ettifaq is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neom is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
16.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:4 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLWWT
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
18.01.26	Neom - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Neom - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:2 ✺
31.12.25	Neom - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

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