Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 15

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	JACO Middle East
China	01:30	QQ Sports
Saudi Arabia	20:30	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Shabab Riyadh		Neom

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.78	3.35	2.38
	2.85	3.61	2.29
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.85	3.22	2.29	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.58)	3.35 ↑ (3.23)	2.29 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shabab Riyadh
32.7%

Draw
27.4%

Neom
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30.8%	69.2%

Al Shabab Riyadh - Neom Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neom: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Shabab (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 50%). Neom (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).

Al-Shabab has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neom has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	12	7	1	4	18:10	8	22
10	Al Shabab	11	3	5	3	20:15	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
09.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
23.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
10.01.26	Neom - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:2 ✺
31.12.25	Neom - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
25.12.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Neom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
05.11.26	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	✺
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
06.11.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Neom	✺

Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom