Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 5
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Al-Ittihad Jeddah		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	7.5
	1.27	5.9	8.2
	1.27	6.38	8.51	Watch
	1.22	5.75	7.5
	1.3	6.67	8.66
	1.28	6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)	6.03 ↑ (5.14)	8.06 ↑ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
73.2%

Draw
15.3%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

18.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

17.2%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Al Ittihad Jeddah - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Pereira D. 20. Sharahili A. 15. Kadesh H. 7. Kante N. 17. Doumbia M. 19. Diaby M. 34. Bergwijn S. 78. Roger 9. Benzema K. (C)	1. Rodak M. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 70. Khateeb A. A. (C) 4. Hendry J. 5. Calvo F. 10. Medran A. 7. Ali M. 6. Al Ghamdi F. 15. Nkota M. 17. Al Ghannam K. 9. Dembele M.
Substitutes
50. Al Absi M. (G) 22. Al Bishi A. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 80. Al Ghamdi H. 32. Al Julaydan A. 14. Al Nashri A. 11. Al Shehri S. 66. Barnawi M. 41. Fallatah M.	29. Al Ghamdi Z. 58. Al Shammari Y. 87. Al Sibyani M. 18. Costa J. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 37. Hindi A. 24. Jalal Al Salem 3. Madu A.
Coaches
Conceicao S.	Al Shehri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Roger 🟨,
27', Doumbia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Khateeb A. A. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Al Ghannam K. ⚽, Al Ghamdi F. (A),
56', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
69', Rodak M. 🟨,
72', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
74', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
74', Sharahili A. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
75', Ali M. ↓, Al Sibyani M. ↑,
81', Roger ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
81', Diaby M. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
85', Rajkovic P. 🟥,
86', Bergwijn S. ↓, Al Absi M. ↑,
90+2', Nkota M. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
90+2', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Shammari Y. ↑,
90+5', Medran A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 3.

Al-Ittihad has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Ettifaq is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Ittihad is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Al-Ittihad will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:25. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Ittihad	8	5	2	1	14:9	5	17
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
13.01.26	Damac - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:4 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
31.12.25	Neom - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWW
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
12.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:4 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:2 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
21.04.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:2
30.11.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:4
10.05.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:5
24.11.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1
16.02.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:3
03.09.22	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:0
23.06.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3

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