Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Al-Faisaly		Damac

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.35	3.2
	1.93	3.35	3.5
	1.89	3.64	3.81
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.88	3.64	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.42)	3.4 ↑ (3.15)	3.48 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
46.9%

Draw
26.8%

Damac
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.9%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Faisaly's performance.

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Faisaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Faisaly - Damac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).

Al-Faisaly has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Damak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Faisaly will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Faisaly won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Faisaly won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Professional League
21.01.22	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Faisaly	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Faisaly	4:0 ✺
11.01.22	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:2 ✺
Saudi Super Cup
06.01.22	Al-Hilal - Al-Faisaly	3:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
31.12.21	Al-Faisaly - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
21.01.22	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Al-Taee - Damac	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
01.01.22	Al-Taawoun - Damac	3:0 ✺
25.12.21	Damac - Al-Batin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
11.09.21	Damac - Al-Faisaly	2:0
18.02.21	Al-Faisaly - Damac	2:0
06.11.20	Damac - Al-Faisaly	0:0
09.08.20	Damac - Al-Faisaly	2:1
01.11.19	Al-Faisaly - Damac	2:0

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