Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Al Fateh		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.75	6.25
	1.4	5	6.5	Watch
	1.42	5.23	6.8
	1.42	5.23	6.37
	1.33	4.6	6.5
	1.39	4.9	6.3
	1.41	4.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	4.86 ↑ (4.2)	6.43 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
66.4%

Draw
19.2%

Abha
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

21.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Fateh's performance.

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Fateh - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: Al Fateh will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinne J. (G) 12. Baattia S. 17. Saadane M. 64. Denayer J. 25. Buhumaid T. 28. Bendebka S. 7. Ali M. 21. Djaniny 11. Batna M. 10. Zelarayan L. 37. Tello C.	16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 17. Al Qumayzi S. 18. Noguera F. 6. Jamal A. 3. Naji M. 5. Krychowiak G. 10. Bguir S. 21. Al Sudani Z. 8. Matic U. 14. Jumayah F. 71. Abdu A.
Substitutes
14. Al Fuhaid M. 66. Al Hassan A. 20. Al Mogren A. 8. Al Mousa N. 83. Al Najdi S. 18. Al Saeed M. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 87. Lajami Q. 26. Malayekah M. (G)	9. Al Ali H. 12. Al Bouq A. (G) 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 24. Al Oufi M. 30. Al Sahafi Z. 88. Al Salouli S. 80. Al Shammeri A. 11. Kamano F. 4. Natiq S.
Coaches
Bilic S.	Timis G.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 2.

Al Fateh is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Abha is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al Fateh is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al Fateh to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Fateh won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
05.10.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Al Fateh - Al-Wahda Mecca	5:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.09.23	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.09.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Fateh	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW
- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
06.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Abha	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Abha - Al-Riyadh	0:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.09.23	Abha - Hajer	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.09.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Abha	4:0 ✺
16.09.23	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
10.03.23	Abha - Al Fateh	2:2
02.10.22	Al Fateh - Abha	3:0
10.03.22	Al Fateh - Abha	3:0
23.10.21	Abha - Al Fateh	3:1
05.03.21	Abha - Al Fateh	2:1
07.12.20	Al Fateh - Abha	1:3
14.08.20	Al Fateh - Abha	2:1

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