Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Al Fateh		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.14	3.2	3.1
	2.32	3.05	2.95
	2.42	3.01	3.14
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.29	3.3	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)	3.11 ↓ (3.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
40.6%

Draw
29.3%

Al-Faisaly
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Fateh's form might have worsened.

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Fateh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Fateh - Al Faisaly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Al Fateh will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Fateh won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
18.02.22	Al Hazem - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
11.02.22	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Al Fateh - Al-Batin	2:3 ✺
20.01.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
13.01.22	Al-Feiha - Al Fateh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLTT
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Professional League
18.02.22	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	0:0 ✺
10.02.22	Al-Feiha - Al-Faisaly	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Al-Faisaly - Damac	3:0 ✺
21.01.22	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Faisaly	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Faisaly	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
10.04.21	Al-Faisaly - Al Fateh	2:3
27.12.20	Al Fateh - Al-Faisaly	3:2
15.02.20	Al Fateh - Al-Faisaly	2:2
15.09.19	Al-Faisaly - Al Fateh	3:2
05.04.19	Al-Faisaly - Al Fateh	1:1
13.12.18	Al Fateh - Al-Faisaly	1:1
10.03.18	Al-Faisaly - Al Fateh	0:2

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