Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al Akhdoud		Al Fateh

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.8
	3.65	3.8	1.82
	3.98	4.3	1.76
	3.95	4.24	1.74	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.75
	3.78	3.93	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.73)	3.93 ↑ (3.79)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
24.5%

Draw
23.6%

Al Fateh
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

21.9%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Fateh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al Fateh will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Samuel Portugal (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 22. Gunter K. 42. Fagihy M. 55. Borrell M. 18. Pedroza J. 13. Bassogog C. 12. Al Hatila A. 7. Narey K. 14. Al Abbas S.	1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 4. Al Jari Z. 44. Fernandes J. 78. Al Swealem A. 17. Saadane M. 11. Batna M. (C) 28. Bendebka S. 33. Youssouf Z. 23. Wesley Delgado 94. Al Anazi A.
Substitutes
21. Abu Abd M. 20. Al Harthi S. M. 10. Al Jahif M. 99. Al Lazam K. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 17. Gul G. 11. Ince B. 19. Salem S.	80. Al Abdulwahed F. 24. Al Aboud M. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 55. Al Hamad F. 88. Al Othman O. 25. Al Sahihi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 12. Qasim H. 10. Vargas M.
Coaches
Al Jabal F.	Gomes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Al Hatila A. 🟨,
25', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Al Hatila A. ⚽,
45+2', Fagihy M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Swealem A. ↓, Al Aboud M. ↑,
58', Pedroza J. 🟨,
61', Al Abbas S. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
64', Al Anazi A. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
64', Saadane M. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
78', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
83', Youssouf Z. ↓, Al Hamad F. ↑,
87', Baattia S. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,
90+1', Narey K. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
90+1', Al Hatila A. ↓, Gul G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Al Fateh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
14.03.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Feiha	0:5 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
14.03.26	Al Fateh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh	3:2 ✺
26.02.26	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:1
24.02.25	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:3
28.09.24	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:4
30.12.23	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	0:0
Saudi King Cup
27.09.23	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	3:1
Saudi Professional League
18.08.23	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:3

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