Match Info

QSL - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al-Gharafa		Al-Arabi Doha

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.9
	2	3.75	3.1
	2.13	4.18	3.05
	2.02	3.95	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.88
	1.93	3.82	3.3	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.62)	3.9 ↓ (4.33)	3.22 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
47.3%

Draw
23.8%

Al-Arabi Doha
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

21.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.

Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Arabi Doha's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Al Gharafa - Al Arabi Doha Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Al-Arabi (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Gharafa will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Gharafa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 24. Gunnarsson A. 6. Traore D. 14. Djalo A. 42. Sano S. 13. Sassi F. 23. Fadlalla S. 10. Al Ganehi A. 9. Joselu 8. Brahimi Y. (C)	13. Hassan Y. (G) 12. Al Sulaiti M. A. S. N. 5. Simo 19. Laye G. 22. Diallo A. 6. Maarafiya A. (C) 21. Veretout J. 10. Rodri 7. Sarabia P. 9. Ewaisat M. K. 14. Olunga M.
Substitutes
26. Al Rayami N. H. 19. Al Zarra J. 17. Boussafi R. 29. Diaz F. 5. Essam M. 99. Hamed J. 27. Holgate M. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 21. Kahiout H. (G) 40. Lecomte C. (G) 3. Muntari M. 4. Saei A.	31. Al Hail J. (G) 11. Al Naimat Y. 26. Bouri S. 8. Fathi A. 16. Hernandez G. 29. Hernandez J. 80. Lihadji I. 27. Moein Doozandeh A. 30. Mohamed Saeed (G) 4. Mohammed H. 2. Muftah Y. 17. Reda S.
Coaches
Martins P.	Amo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Olunga M. ⚽, Rodri (A),
16', Sarabia P. 🟨,
25', Traore D. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
26', 1 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
32', Muntari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Brahimi Y. ⚽,
64', Sarabia P. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
64', Maarafiya A. ↓, Fathi A. ↑,
64', Djalo A. ↓, Jang Hyun-Soo ↑,
68', Al Oui A. 🟨,
73', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
80', Simo ↓, Reda S. ↑,
81', Gouda M. ↓, Lihadji I. ↑,
84', Joselu ↓, Diaz F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 4.

Al-Gharafa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
15.08.25	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	4:2 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
24.05.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	4:2 ✺
14.05.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	3:2 penalties ✺
06.05.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW
- Al-Arabi Doha SC
Qatar QSL
15.08.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Wakrah	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Córdoba - Al-Arabi Doha	0:3 ✺
29.07.25	Ibiza - Al-Arabi Doha	2:5 ✺
25.07.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Arabi Doha	1:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
07.05.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
04.04.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:3
31.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	3:1
30.03.24	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	0:1
03.11.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	5:4
04.05.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	3:0
13.03.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	0:1
Qatar QSL Cup
08.10.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:0

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