Match Info

Emir Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Gharafa		Umm-Salal

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.4
	1.88	4	3.35
	1.36	4.12	9.81	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.74	3.78	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	3.88 ↓ (3.92)	4.72 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
55.2%

Draw
24.6%

Umm-Salal
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Al Gharafa - Umm Salal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye K. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 42. Sano S. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 11. Surag A. 29. Diaz F. 10. Al Ganehi A. 13. Sassi F. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 3. Muntari M.	48. Hamadeh I. R. (G) 2. Fayez A. 19. Laidouni N. 22. Udosen E. 15. Tahif A. 17. Kouassi J. E. 6. Aholou J. 8. Al Hajri S. 10. Baidoo M. 27. Haroon D. 14. Tannane O. (C)
Substitutes
17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 24. Gunnarsson A. 99. Hamed J. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 97. Nasar Mohamed A.	20. Afif A. 12. Al Bahnasawi W. 11. Al Shammari M. 13. Ashour L. (G) 37. Diallo A. 32. El Sayed A. 3. Hazaa A. 16. Jarrar Y. 9. Mance A. 7. Mansour K. 21. Saad K. 5. Said F.
Coaches
Martins P.	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Baidoo M. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Al Ganehi A. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Sassi F. ⚽, Muntari M. (A),
36', Kouassi J. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Fayez A. 🟨,
60', Muntari M. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
76', Tahif A. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
76', Haroon D. ↓, Jarrar Y. ↑,
85', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
90+2', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 5.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:27. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Umm-Salal - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
27.04.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	3:2 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Ahli Doha	1:4 ✺
12.03.26	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL
- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar QSL
27.04.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Ahli Doha	1:3 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Rayyan - Umm-Salal	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
28.03.26	Al-Rayyan - Umm-Salal	4:3 penalties ✺
24.03.26	Umm-Salal - Al Bidda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
06.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	2:3
15.08.25	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	4:2
Qatar Emir Cup
19.05.25	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	4:2
Qatar QSL
07.03.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	0:1
18.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	3:1
Qatar QSL Cup
05.10.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	5:0
Qatar Emir Cup
14.05.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	2:4

Upcoming Matches