Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 9
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Montenegro	Sportklub 9
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 9
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 2 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Gharafa		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.3
	2.9	3.6	2.25
	2.91	3.73	2.27
	2.84	3.75	2.24	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	2.89	3.7	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	3.64 ↓ (3.83)	2.26 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
32.8%

Draw
25.7%

Al Wasl
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

23.8%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

22.6%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Gharafa's performance.

Al Wasl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Wasl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Al Gharafa - Al Wasl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al Wasl will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Wasl: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Rico S. (G) 28. Kechrida W. 42. Sano S. 32. Nani M. 21. Fadlalla S. 24. Gunnarsson A. 7. Coman F. 29. Diaz F. 31. Sassi F. (C) 8. Brahimi Y. 9. Joselu	1. Al Senani K. (G) 44. Awad S. 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 4. Bouftini S. 25. Perez A. 11. Suroor M. 31. Gimenez N. 6. Sidibe S. 10. Lima F. 8. Seferovic H. 7. Saleh A. (C)
Substitutes
80. Al Ganehi A. 34. Al Oui A. 26. Boussafi R. 99. Hamed J. 16. Houssam Y. 12. Ismaeil H. 22. Kahiout H. (G) 18. N'Diaye K. (G) 17. Surag A. 6. Traore D. 2. Yousif A.	32. Ali M. (G) 3. Al Mheiri Y. 23. Al Zaabi T. 17. Caio Canedo 9. Diallo A. 18. Janeer M. 77. Jonas Santos 21. N'Guessan J. 12. Saleh A. 5. Salmeen A. 90. Success I. 19. Uchino T.
Coaches
Martins P.	Milojevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Fadlalla S. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
61', Seferovic H. ↓, Jonas Santos ↑,
61', Saleh A. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
63', Suroor M. 🟨,
69', Awad S. 🟨,
78', Suroor M. ↓, Salmeen A. ↑,
78', Sidibe S. ↓, Success I. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Lima F. (Pen),
85', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
89', Sassi F. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Success I. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
90+6', Kechrida W. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Al Wasl have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
18.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
05.10.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	5:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al Ain	4:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:2 ✺
22.09.24	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLW
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Presidents Cup
18.10.24	Al Wasl - Al-Wahda	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
05.10.24	Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan	3:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.24	Al Wasl - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
UAE Football League
26.09.24	Al Ain - Al Wasl	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches