Match Info

QATAR: QSL Cup - Round 5

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Al Khor Stadium (Al Khor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Qatar	Al Kass Two, Shoof


	Al-Khor		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.6	3.5	2.33
	2.66	3.49	2.16
	2.88	3.66	2.14	Watch
	3	3.4	2
	2.89	3.48	2.15	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (4.71)	3.5 ↓ (3.84)	2.17 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Khor
32.6%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Gharafa
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

23.7%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.5%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Khor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Khor's performance.

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Gharafa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Khor than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Khor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Al Khor - Al Gharafa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Khor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mahmoud A. (G) 20. Al Mohanadi A. (C) 13. Atiq S. 11. Boli Y. 94. Hanni S. 2. Karib K. 14. Mawla A. R. 88. Mutasem M. 4. Radwan K. 6. Saei A. 35. Semedo R.	40. Lecomte-Addani A. (G) 33. Abdulnasir C. 17. Boussafi R. 99. Hamed J. 16. Houssam Y. 32. Nani M. 19. Saaed Ahmed Y. 14. Sudarmanto A. 11. Surag A. (C) 25. Tamer I. 27. Tawfik Z.
Substitutes
33. Al Ali A. I. M. H. 7. Al Mohanadi S. 30. Hassan M. 17. Hazaa A. 12. Kala I. 31. Kone A. (G) 15. Mubarak N. 77. Rashid A. 5. Rhaili A. 8. Said F. 27. Yahia J. 21. Zaghbani A.	64. Ali I. 55. Al Rayami N. H. 29. Diaz F. 5. Essam M. 67. Hassan A. 22. Kahiout H. (G) 18. N'Diaye K. (G) 6. Traore D. 66. Wahid R. 2. Yousif A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Hanni S. 🟨,
34', Abdulnasir C. 🟨,
37', Hamed J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', Atiq S. ↓, Kala I. ↑,
63', Karib K. ↓, Al Ali A. I. M. H. ↑,
65', Tawfik Z. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
71', Abdulnasir C. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
72', Houssam Y. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
77', Sudarmanto A. ↓, Ali I. ↑,
78', Mawla A. R. ↓, Al Mohanadi S. ↑,
78', Hanni S. ↓, Rashid A. ↑,
83', Mutasem M. ↓, Mubarak N. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Rashid A. ⚽, Al Mohanadi S. (A),
89', 2 - 0, Al Mohanadi A. ⚽, Saei A. (A),
90+5', 3 - 0, Al Mohanadi A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Khor SC
Qatar QSL
31.10.24	Al-Khor - Qatar SC	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Khor	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Al-Khor - Al-Rayyan	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
05.10.24	Al-Shamal - Al-Khor	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Khor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTL
- Al-Gharafa SC
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Persepolis - Al-Gharafa	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
31.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al Wasl	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
18.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
09.08.24	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	0:0
10.02.22	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	1:1
Qatar QSL Cup
13.12.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	4:1
15.11.21	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	4:2
Qatar QSL
26.10.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	5:0
08.03.21	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	1:3
27.11.20	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	6:3

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