Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Al-Hudood		Al-Talaba

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.77
	6.2	3.8	1.48
	6.37	3.79	1.5	Watch
	6.61	3.74	1.47	Watch
	6.2	3.8	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (4.16)	3.69 ↑ (3.39)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hudood
15.6%

Draw
24.9%

Al-Talaba
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.8%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.3%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hudood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hudood's form might have worsened.

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Talaba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hudood than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Hudood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Talaba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Hudood - Al Talaba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Talaba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Talaba will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Maaroufi G. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Oueslati H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 3, Msuva S. ⚽,
56', 1 - 3, Da Costa R. ⚽,
79', Al Sarori A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Al-Hudood has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Talaba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Al-Hudood have a series of guest games.

Recently Al-Talaba have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Talaba is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Talaba to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hudood won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hudood won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hudood SC
Iraqi Premier League
29.03.25	Najaf - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Hudood	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Diyala - Al-Hudood	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Hudood	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
29.03.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Talaba - Newroz	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2 ✺
Iraqi Cup
27.02.25	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.09.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Hudood	1:0
26.05.24	Al-Hudood - Al-Talaba	1:2
29.02.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Hudood	0:1
19.04.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Hudood	2:2
30.10.22	Al-Hudood - Al-Talaba	2:0

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