Match Info

Stars League - Round 27

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Hudood		Arbil

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.75	3.2	2.37
	2.74	3.34	2.37	Watch
	2.82	3.3	2.4
	2.75	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.34)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	2.38 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hudood
33.3%

Draw
28.3%

Arbil
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

23.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hudood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hudood's performance.

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arbil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hudood than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Al Hudood - Arbil Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Al-Hudood (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hudood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Kareem S. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Al-Hudood has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arbil is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arbil will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Hudood won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hudood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hudood SC
Iraqi Premier League
03.04.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Talaba	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Najaf - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Hudood	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Diyala - Al-Hudood	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
03.04.25	Arbil - Al-Qasim	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Arbil	3:1 ✺
12.03.25	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Arbil - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Najaf - Arbil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
26.11.24	Arbil - Al-Hudood	3:1
04.03.24	Al-Hudood - Arbil	1:0
09.04.23	Al-Hudood - Arbil	1:1
22.01.21	Arbil - Al-Hudood	1:1

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