Match Info

Stars League - Round 13

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Al-Zawraa		Arbil

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.15
	1.82	3.3	4.16	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.99	3.25	3.87	Watch
	1.88	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	4 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
48.6%

Draw
28.7%

Arbil
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

29.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Zawraa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Al Zawraa - Arbil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Mohammad M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Zawraa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.26	Diyala - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTWW
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.26	Arbil - Duhok	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Al Mosul - Arbil	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Arbil - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:0 ✺
31.12.25	Arbil - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Diyala - Arbil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
12.03.25	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	4:0
05.10.24	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	1:1
01.05.24	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	3:0
23.12.23	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	0:1
19.05.23	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	3:1
15.12.22	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	0:1

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