Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 3h 📅 Remind Me


	Arbil		Ghaz Al Shamal

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.45	5.3
	1.58	3.64	5.3	Watch
	1.56	3.52	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	3.54 ↓ (3.64)	5.35 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbil
57.7%

Draw
25.5%

Ghaz Al Shamal
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

23.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Arbil have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ghaz Al Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghaz Al Shamal than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Arbil - Ghaz Al Shamal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th and 10th).

Arbil is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ghaz Al Shamal has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ghaz Al Shamal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Arbil has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Arbil is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Erbil	11	5	3	3	14:7	7	18
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
22.10.26	Zakho - Arbil	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Arbil - Al Mosul	0:1 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
14.10.26	Ajman Club - Arbil	5:4 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
08.10.26	Naft Maysan - Arbil	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Karbala - Arbil	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTW
- Ghaz Al Shamal
Iraqi Premier League
25.10.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
18.10.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Zawraa	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Al-Minaa - Ghaz Al Shamal	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Newroz	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Ghaz Al Shamal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Gulf Club Champions League
28.10.26	Arbil - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	✺

Arbil - Ghaz Al Shamal