Match Info

Stars League - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Hudood		Newroz

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.7
	4.4	3.45	1.72
	4.25	3.5	1.76
	4.25	3.51	1.76
	4.27	3.52	1.72	Watch
	4.4	3.45	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (4.09)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hudood
21.1%

Draw
26.2%

Newroz
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.7%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hudood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hudood than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Al Hudood - Newroz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hudood (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Antwi D. ⚽, Da Costa R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Zureigat M. ⚽, Panom G. (A),
81', 1 - 2, Salah Jaber A. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Al-Hudood is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Newroz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Newroz is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Hudood won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hudood won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hudood SC
Iraqi Premier League
23.04.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Karkh	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Duhok - Al-Hudood	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Al-Hudood - Arbil	0:1 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Talaba	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Najaf - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLLL
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
18.04.25	Al-Karkh - Newroz	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Newroz - Naft Maysan	2:2 ✺
02.04.25	Newroz - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Al-Qasim - Newroz	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Talaba - Newroz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
07.12.24	Newroz - Al-Hudood	1:2
20.05.24	Al-Hudood - Newroz	2:1
24.05.23	Al-Hudood - Newroz	1:0
20.12.22	Newroz - Al-Hudood	3:1

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