Match Info

Stars League - Round 14

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Al-Karkh		Newroz

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.78	2.98
	2.41	2.92	2.98
	2.45	2.7	2.88
	2.46	2.74	3.03	Watch
	2.45	2.71	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.06)	2.77 ↓ (3.23)	2.97 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
37.1%

Draw
32.6%

Newroz
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Karkh's form might have worsened.

Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Karkh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Al Karkh - Newroz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Karkh will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Al-Karkh (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Karkh (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Al-Karkh (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Karkh (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Hamoud Y. ⚽,
45+8', 2 - 0, Hamoud Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Yousef A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Al-Karkh might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Newroz - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
18.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Karkh - Najaf	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Karkh - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
31.12.25	Zakho - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWTT
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
18.01.26	Al-Qasim - Newroz	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Newroz - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Newroz	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Newroz - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Minaa - Newroz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
18.04.25	Al-Karkh - Newroz	2:2
14.01.25	Newroz - Al-Karkh	1:0
27.06.24	Al-Karkh - Newroz	2:1
30.12.23	Newroz - Al-Karkh	1:1
17.03.23	Al-Karkh - Newroz	1:1
15.10.22	Newroz - Al-Karkh	1:0
20.11.21	Al-Karkh - Newroz	1:1

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