The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 48.7%
Draw 33.4%
Ismaily 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
28.8%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
27%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ittihad Alexandria's form might have worsened.
Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ittihad Alexandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.7%
25%
6.2%
Al Ittihad Alexandria - Ismaily Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Ismaily will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 46.1% โ 91.5%.
16. Genesh M. (G) 2. Abdelfattah K. 5. Ibrahim M. 4. Alaa M. 17. El Deeb K. (C) 13. Tony M. 25. Emad M. 10. Afsha 27. Magdi A. 90. Mabululu 33. Eid A.
13. Mahrous A. (G) 25. Mansour H. 2. Nasr M. 23. Ayman A. 34. Shehata K. 6. Hassan M. (C) 8. Traore E. 32. Khatary M. 7. Al Nabris K. 15. Farag N. 21. Ehab M.
Substitutes
18. Ebuka J. 9. Farid F. 23. Isaac S. 88. Mahmoud A. 14. Mohamed A. 6. Shabana M. 34. Sherif M. 1. Soliman S. (G) 11. Wahid Y.
40. Abdelsalam A. 35. Ahmed O. 4. Ammar M. 19. El Dah A. 50. Fattah A. 44. Hassan A. 99. Hosny M. (G) 33. Katkot A. 14. Mohamed Sukar H.
Coaches
Hamdi M.
Galal K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Emad M. 🟨,
14', Magdi A. ↓, Wahid Y. ↑,
37', Abdelfattah K. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Alaa M. ⚽, Mabululu (A),
45+2', Hassan M. 🟨,
45+4', Al Nabris K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mansour H. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
46', Farag N. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
57', El Dah A. 🟨,
60', Ibrahim M. 🟨,
65', Mabululu ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
65', Eid A. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
65', Ehab M. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Ebuka J. ⚽, Tony M. (A),
78', Khatary M. ↓, Ahmed O. ↑,
80', Nasr M. 🟨,
80', Hassan M. ↓, Katkot A. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Ebuka J. ⚽,
87', Tony M. ↓, Isaac S. ↑,
87', Abdelfattah K. ↓, Mahmoud A. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2.
Al-Ittihad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ismaily's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Ismaily has had a series of away games.
In this match, Al-Ittihad is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).