Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al Salam Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Wadi Degla		Ismaily

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.1	5
	1.98	3	3.95	Watch
	1.99	3.2	4.81
	1.92	3.06	4.5	Watch
	2	2.9	3.9
	1.89	2.88	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)	4.44 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wadi Degla
48.5%

Draw
30.6%

Ismaily
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

30%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

29.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wadi Degla's form might have worsened.

Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ismaily's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wadi Degla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ismaily, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Wadi Degla - Ismaily Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ismaily will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wadi Degla: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Wadi Degla (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Seyam Z. (G) 2. Maher S. 24. Ragab M. 3. Adly O. 5. Dahroug A. 34. Kaandorp M. 19. Mohamed H. 14. Abdelaati M. (C) 11. Abdelrahim M. 10. Diasty M. 7. Hussein A.	13. Mahrous A. (G) 44. Hassan A. 2. Nasr M. 5. Mohamed A. 21. Ehab M. 8. Traore E. 10. Samiae M. 6. Hassan M. (C) 15. Farag N. 19. El Dah A. 40. Abdelsalam A.
Substitutes
6. Aboul-Fetouh K. 44. El Shimi A. 32. Farouk A. 47. Hassan H. 33. Miskic D. 20. Oya Y. 21. Reda A. 18. Shaaban A. (G) 22. Zizo	37. Abdelaal I. 7. Al Nabris K. 23. Ayman A. 22. El Malawany A. 99. Hosny M. (G) 32. Khatary M. 25. Mansour H. 14. Mohamed Sukar H. 17. Wagdi M.
Coaches
El Sheikh M.	Galal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Diasty M. ⚽, Abdelrahim M. (A),
35', Mohamed A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Dah A. ↓, Mohamed Sukar H. ↑,
46', Abdelsalam A. ↓, Al Nabris K. ↑,
46', Ehab M. ↓, Khatary M. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Diasty M. ⚽, Adly O. (A),
62', Diasty M. 🟨,
68', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
68', Mohamed H. ↓, Miskic D. ↑,
70', Farag N. ↓, Wagdi M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Traore E. ⚽, Nasr M. (A),
80', Abdelaati M. ↓, El Shimi A. ↑,
80', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
81', Samiae M. ↓, Abdelaal I. ↑,
84', Diasty M. ↓, Aboul-Fetouh K. ↑,
85', Aboul-Fetouh K. 🟨,
90+1', Mohamed A. 🟨,
90+2', Mohamed Sukar H. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 3.

Wadi Degla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ismaily has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ismaily has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wadi Degla is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wadi Degla	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
08.05.26	Petrojet - Wadi Degla	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Wadi Degla - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Wadi Degla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Wadi Degla	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wadi Degla - National Bank of Egypt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW
- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
07.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Petrojet - Ismaily	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Ismaily - Modern Sport	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	El Gouna - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
20.02.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2
Egyptian Premier League
20.08.21	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	0:2
05.03.21	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	0:0
19.08.20	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:1
05.10.19	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	0:1
25.04.19	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	3:0

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