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Current Win Probability
Wadi Degla 33.9%
Draw 35.5%
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
34.1%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
33%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wadi Degla's form might have worsened.
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wadi Degla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ittihad Alexandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Wadi Degla - Al Ittihad Alexandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Al-Ittihad (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hossam A. (G) 2. Maher S. 28. Teka S. 24. Ragab M. 21. Reda A. (C) 34. Kaandorp M. 33. Miskic D. 47. Hassan H. 22. Zizo 11. Abdelrahim M. 9. Boli F.
16. Genesh M. (G) 2. Abdelfattah K. 24. Gouda A. 4. Alaa M. 17. El Deeb K. (C) 10. Afsha 25. Emad M. 23. Isaac S. 18. Ebuka J. 27. Magdi A. 11. Wahid Y.
Substitutes
14. Abdelaati M. 4. Adel I. 3. Adly O. 5. Dahroug A. 10. Diasty M. 32. Farouk A. 19. Mohamed H. 20. Oya Y. 45. Seyam Z. (G)
26. Dunga M. 33. Eid A. 9. Farid F. 5. Ibrahim M. 90. Mabululu 88. Mahmoud A. 14. Mohamed A. 1. Soliman S. (G) 13. Tony M.
Coaches
El Sheikh M.
Hamdi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Boli F. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Hassan H. ⚽, Boli F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', El Deeb K. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
49', Zizo 🟨,
63', Afsha ↓, Dunga M. ↑,
64', Ebuka J. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
64', Magdi A. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
68', Zizo ↓, Mohamed H. ↑,
68', Miskic D. ↓, Diasty M. ↑,
73', Kaandorp M. ↓, Abdelaati M. ↑,
73', Hassan H. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
76', Ragab M. 🟨,
78', Reda A. ↓, Dahroug A. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Boli F. ⚽, Diasty M. (A),
82', Emad M. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Mohamed H. ⚽, Diasty M. (A),
88', Teka S. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Farid F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Abdelaati M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2.
Wadi Degla is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Ittihad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Al-Ittihad has had a series of away games.
Wadi Degla might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Al Ittihad
5
3
1
1
6:3
3
10
14
Wadi Degla
5
1
2
2
4:5
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.