The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 41.8%
Draw 30.7%
Wadi Degla 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
31.3%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
30.6%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Alexandria's performance.
Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Al Ittihad Alexandria - Wadi Degla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. El Gabry A. (G) 4. Abdellah I. 80. Arumala J. 24. Awad M. 18. Ebuka J. 14. Fakhri M. 21. Hamdi A. 5. Ibrahim M. 23. Isaac S. 30. Mosaad K. 11. Wahid Y.
99. Aziz A. (G) 14. Abdelaati M. 34. Abdin A. 3. Adly O. 23. Ayman A. 9. Boli F. 19. Mahmoud A. . Mostafa Mohamed Abbas Y. 7. Oya Y. 27. Refaat A. 20. Said M.
Substitutes
. Atef A. 16. El Arabi A. (G) 25. Emad M. 10. Hassan H. 7. Mostafa M. 35. Nagy A. . Osama M. 8. Tony M. 51. Wael A.
11. Abdelrahim M. 6. Aboul-Fetouh K. 32. Farouk A. . Kaandorp M. 4. Kanu . Mahmoud A. . Ramadan M. . Soliman 28. Teka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Isaac S. 🟨,
11', Mahmoud A. ↓, Abdelrahim M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Wahid Y. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
59', Hamdi A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
67', Mahmoud A. ↓, Kanu ↑,
67', Oya Y. ↓, Abdelrahim M. ↑,
68', Fakhri M. ↓, Atef A. ↑,
68', Ebuka J. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
69', Boli F. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Refaat A. ⚽,
78', Ibrahim M. 🟨,
80', Arumala J. ↓, Wael A. ↑,
83', Refaat A. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', Refaat A. ↓, Soliman ↑,
86', Adly O. ↓, Teka S. ↑,
87', Abdelaati M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 1.
Al-Ittihad has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wadi Degla has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ittihad has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:23 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ittihad against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).