Match Info

Stars League - Round 14

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Kahraba		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.62
	2.51	2.93	2.84	Watch
	2.63	2.6	2.8
	2.5	2.77	2.84	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.75)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	2.8 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kahraba
35.2%

Draw
32.5%

Al Mosul
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

32.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kahraba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Al Kahraba - Al Mosul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 16).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Al-Kahraba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
16	Al Kahraba	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kahraba
Iraqi Premier League
19.01.26	Al-Naft - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Zakho	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWL
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
18.01.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karma	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al Mosul - Arbil	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Karkh - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTT

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