Match Info

Stars League - Round 13

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Al Mosul		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.82	2.12
	3.75	2.93	2.06	Watch
	3.6	2.63	2.1
	3.77	2.89	2.04	Watch
	3.66	2.85	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.12)	2.82 ↓ (2.94)	2.07 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Mosul
24.7%

Draw
31.9%

Al-Karma
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

31.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

30.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Al Mosul - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Olwan A. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Maknzi A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 3, Fayaq H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4).

Recent form of Al Mosul has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Karma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Karma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al Mosul - Arbil	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Karkh - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Al Mosul - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTTT
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Qasim	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karma	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Karma - Najaf	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Gharraf - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Karma - Zakho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Al Mosul - Al-Karma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide