Match Info

Stars League - Round 22

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Kahraba		Al-Talaba

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.92	2.18
	2.93	3.13	2.25
	3.09	3.12	2.23	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.2
	3.06	3.04	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.89)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)	2.22 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kahraba
29.3%

Draw
30%

Al-Talaba
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

29.6%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

28.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kahraba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Kahraba's performance.

Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Talaba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Kahraba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Talaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Al Kahraba - Al Talaba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Kahraba will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Talaba will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Talaba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Aribi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Nihad M. ⚽,
52', 1 - 2, Saad K. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Kahraba won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Al-Talaba is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Kahraba won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kahraba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Al Kahraba	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kahraba
Iraqi Premier League
07.03.26	Diyala - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Kahraba - Amanat Baghdad	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Najaf - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Kahraba - Duhok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWT
- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
10.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	2:0
17.04.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	1:0
20.01.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Talaba	1:2
26.06.24	Al-Kahraba - Al-Talaba	0:3
24.11.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	2:0
03.04.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	1:1
20.10.22	Al-Kahraba - Al-Talaba	0:2

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