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Current Win Probability
Al-Karma 64%
Draw 22.2%
Al-Karkh 13.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61%
24.1%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
22.9%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Al Karma - Al Karkh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bassene P. ⚽, Amadi S. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Ramadan W. ⚽, Mouddane A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 2 - 1, Soro Nanga M. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 3 - 1, Jasim S. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Tandia I. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 17th).
Al-Karma is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Al-Karkh has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Karma holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Al-Karma in today's match, at odds of 1.39.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Al-Karma has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Karma against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Iraq
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