Match Info

Stars League - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Duhok Stadium (Duhok)


	Al-Karma		Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.2	3
	2.52	2.87	2.73
	2.51	2.98	2.79	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.44	3.04	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.6)	2.98 ↑ (2.97)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karma
37.4%

Draw
30.3%

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya aligns with the current prediction.

Al Karma - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Jasim S. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Faisal A. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Al Yahmadi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Umar A. 🟥,
68', Abu Taha M. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Recent performances by Al-Karma have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
05.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Karma - Newroz	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Karma - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTTT
- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
06.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Mosul	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Newroz - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Duhok - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
09.01.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karma	1:0
15.02.25	Al-Karma - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:1
12.12.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karma	1:0

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