Match Info

Stars League - Round 33

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Naft		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.82	2.15
	3.51	2.78	2.14
	3.61	2.71	2.24	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.15
	3.55	2.84	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.19)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
25.8%

Draw
32.5%

Al-Karma
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

30%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Al Naft - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Al-Naft is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Karma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Karma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Naft won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
01.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Naft - Zakho	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Diyala - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Naft - Arbil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
01.05.26	Al-Karma - Newroz	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Karma - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Najaf - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
20.09.25	Al-Karma - Al-Naft	2:1
02.04.25	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0
26.09.24	Al-Karma - Al-Naft	0:2

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