Match Info

Stars League - Round 30

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	19:30	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya		Arbil

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	2.01	3.15	3.37
	2.07	3.26	3.31	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)	3.09 ↓ (3.11)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
43.8%

Draw
29.2%

Arbil
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

29.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Arbil Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Umar A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Erbil	11	5	3	3	14:7	7	18
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	11	2	6	3	14:13	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
18.04.26	Duhok - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Kahraba	3:2 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	5:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTT
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
18.04.26	Arbil - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Naft - Arbil	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Arbil - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Arbil	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
04.01.26	Arbil - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:0
19.06.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	1:2
04.02.25	Arbil - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2
01.07.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	2:1
30.05.23	Arbil - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:0
25.12.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	2:1
21.05.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	2:1

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