Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	20:00	SuperSport 5
Asia	—	SPOTV Asia
Austria	20:00	DAZN
Cambodia	01:00	MyTV
France	20:00	DAZN France
Germany	20:00	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital1+
Hong Kong	02:00	HOY TV
Hungary	20:00	TV2 Play Premium
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:00	SPOTV, Vidio
Kenya	21:00	Gotv
Malaysia	02:00	Astro Go
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Mongolia	02:00	SPOTV
Nigeria	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	02:00	SPOTV
Saudi Arabia	21:00	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
South Africa	20:00	SupeSport ESPN
South Korea	03:00	SPOTV
Spain	20:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	20:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:00	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	21:00	HT Spor
Usa	14:00	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Vietnam	01:00	SPOTV
International	18:00	OneFootball TV, SPL Watch


	Al-Qadisiya		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	2
	3.20	3.80	1.98
	2.9	3.7	2.08
	3.17	4.06	2.08
	3.06	4.02	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.95	2
	3.09	3.85	2.06
	3	3.85	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.75)	3.87 ↑ (3.55)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
30.5%

Draw
24%

Al-Hilal
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Al Qadisiya - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (C) 4. Thakri J. 17. Alvarez G. 8. Nandez N. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 10. Al Juwayr M. 5. Weigl J. 14. Reijnders T. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M. 33. Quinones J.	37. Bono (G) 2. Mahzari M. 87. Tambakti H. 3. Koulibaly K. 19. Hernandez T. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 6. Al Dawsari N. (C) 8. Neves R. 7. Martinelli G. 11. Watkins O. 38. Summerville C.
Substitutes
7. Al Ammar T. 18. Al Jaber A. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 15. Al Qahtani M. 42. Al Qarawi A. 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 35. Al Siyahi A. 27. Houssa E.	29. Al Dawsari S. 77. Al Habashi N. 24. Al Harbi M. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 33. Al Owais M. (G) 72. Dahal S. 28. Kanno M. 78. Lajami A. 27. Mandash S.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Nandez N. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
21', 0 - 1, Martinelli G. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
36', Tambakti H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Martinelli G. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
74', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
76', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Neves R. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
83', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Mandash S. (A),
86', Neves R. 🟨,
87', 2 - 3, Retegui M. ⚽, Reijnders T. (A),
88', Summerville C. ↓, Al Dawsari S. ↑,
88', Hernandez T. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
88', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
90+2', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories in strong fashion.

Al-Hilal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Al-Hilal holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Al-Qadisiya has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Qadisiya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Qadsiah	12	9	1	2	32:12	20	28
3	Al Hilal	10	9	0	1	30:9	21	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
20.10.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
16.10.26	Al-Qadisiya - Abha	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
12.10.26	Pakhtakor - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
09.10.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Wasl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
19.10.26	Al-Hilal - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
13.10.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
10.10.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Gharafa	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
12.09.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2
13.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	2:2
26.05.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	2:0
27.01.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:1
20.03.21	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	1:0

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