Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 19 April 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Police |
|
Bugesera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.1 |
4.65 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.14 |
4.65 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.23 |
4.84 |
 Watch |
 |
1.75 |
3 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.14 |
5.16 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
4.78 ↑
(4.72) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police
52.2% | Draw
28.9% | Bugesera
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Police have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Police - Bugesera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.Police has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bugesera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Recently, Bugesera has had a series of home games. In this match, Police is a strong favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Police won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.3:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Police - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.21%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 26.12.25 | Bugesera - Police | 1:0 | | 15.03.25 | Bugesera - Police | 0:1 | | 13.12.24 | Police - Bugesera | 2:2 | | 05.12.23 | Bugesera - Police | 4:2 | | 11.03.23 | Bugesera - Police | 2:1 | | 13.10.22 | Police - Bugesera | 2:1 | | 13.06.22 | Bugesera - Police | 2:0 |
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