Match Info

Premier League

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Merreikh Stadium (Omdurman)

Where to Watch on TV:


Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	Al-Merreikh		Kiyovu Sports

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.15
	1.71	3.29	4.46
	1.63	3.49	5.39	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.5
	1.72	3.4	4.65
	1.62	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	4.79 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Merreikh
54.2%

Draw
26.9%

Kiyovu Sports
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kiyovu Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Al Merreikh - Kiyovu Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 5).

Al-Merreikh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kiyovu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Merreikh is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Kiyovu	3	1	0	2	1:2	-1	3
14	Al-Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
07.05.26	Al-Merreikh - Etincelles	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Gicumbi - Al-Merreikh	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Bugesera	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Al-Merreikh	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Rutsiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLT
- SC Kiyovu Sports
Rwanda Premier League
05.05.26	Amagaju - Kiyovu Sports	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Musanze - Kiyovu Sports	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kiyovu Sports - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Kiyovu Sports - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTLW

Al-Merreikh - Kiyovu Sports: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide