Match Info

Stars League - Round 36

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Kurdish


	Al-Minaa		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.15	3.8
	1.81	3.26	3.93
	1.87	3.22	4.05	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.7
	1.86	3.18	4.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)	3.14 ↑ (3.01)	3.9 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
48.2%

Draw
28.7%

Al Mosul
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Al Minaa - Al Mosul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Atiemwen I. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Al-Abidin Z. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Al Mosul has had a series of home games.

Al-Minaa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Minaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
14.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLW
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
15.05.26	Al Mosul - Duhok	3:3 ✺
11.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Talaba	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Mosul	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Minaa	2:1

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