Match Info

Stars League - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al Mosul		Al-Talaba

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.88	2.32
	2.94	2.95	2.31
	2.99	2.95	2.38	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.3
	3.01	3.02	2.29
	3.2	2.88	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Mosul
30%

Draw
30.9%

Al-Talaba
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

31.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

30.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Al Mosul - Al Talaba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Al Mukhtar K. (Penalty Awarded),
45+8', Kadhim H. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, Ghazi I. ⚽,
90+15', 2 - 1, Medranda J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+27', 2 - 2, Al Mukhtar K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Talaba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Talaba might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Mosul won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
06.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Mosul	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Al Mosul - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTTT
- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
05.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Talaba - Arbil	2:3 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Talaba - Newroz	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Talaba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0

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