Match Info

Stars League - Round 23

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Minaa		Diyala

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.05	3.35
	2.06	3.18	3.42	Watch
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.07	3.08	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
44.2%

Draw
29.2%

Diyala
26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al-Minaa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Diyala have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Al Minaa - Diyala Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Minaa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Zamil A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Yasin A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).

Recent performances by Al-Minaa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Diyala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Diyala has had a series of home games.

Al-Minaa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Minaa - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.26	Arbil - Al-Minaa	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Najaf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karma	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLL
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.26	Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Diyala - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
26.10.25	Diyala - Al-Minaa	0:0
02.07.25	Al-Minaa - Diyala	3:0
07.11.24	Diyala - Al-Minaa	1:1

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