Match Info

Stars League - Round 22

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Diyala		Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.82	2
	3.51	2.98	2.01
	3.69	3.02	2.04	Watch
	3.3	2.63	2.2
	3.47	2.71	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.81)	2.83 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
25.2%

Draw
31.8%

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

29.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

27.4%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diyala - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, Abdulameer S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Diyala has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	2	11
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
07.03.26	Diyala - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Newroz - Diyala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWL
- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Newroz	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
30.10.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Diyala	2:1
16.04.25	Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:1
26.10.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Diyala	1:1

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