Match Info

Stars League - Round 21

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Najaf		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.98	2
	3.7	2.96	2.01
	3.69	2.99	2.05	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.05
	3.51	3.2	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.14)	2.98 ↓ (3.16)	2.05 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
25.1%

Draw
30.5%

Al-Minaa
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Najaf - Al Minaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Qosim Nassif M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 2.

Najaf has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Minaa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Minaa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Najaf - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Najaf - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
01.03.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karma	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Zakho - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
05.10.25	Al-Minaa - Najaf	4:2
12.03.25	Al-Minaa - Najaf	1:1
19.01.25	Najaf - Al-Minaa	3:2
13.07.24	Najaf - Al-Minaa	2:0
08.06.22	Najaf - Al-Minaa	2:2
31.12.21	Al-Minaa - Najaf	1:1
11.03.21	Al-Minaa - Najaf	0:2

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