Match Info

Stars League - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Minaa		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	3.85	3	1.92
	3.91	2.94	1.97
	3.91	3.01	1.98	Watch
	3.9	2.75	2
	3.96	2.93	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 (3.91)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
23.1%

Draw
30.9%

Al-Karma
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.4%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

28.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Al-Karma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+3%)

Al Minaa - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3).

Al-Minaa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Karma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Karma might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Minaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
21.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Zakho - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTTT
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
21.02.26	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newroz - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.11.25	Al-Karma - Al-Minaa	2:0
03.05.25	Al-Karma - Al-Minaa	0:1
08.02.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Karma	0:2

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