The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Mosul 26.3%
Draw 28.4%
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
29.8%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.7%
28.2%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Al Mosul - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Jouini H. ⚽, Hanoon R. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Jawad M. ⚽, Jouini H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, Jouini H. ⚽, Abdulameer S. (A),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 7th).
Al Mosul has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Al Mosul has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al Mosul against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
9
2
5
2
14:12
2
11
14
Al Mosul
9
2
2
5
9:15
-6
8
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.09%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
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