Match Info

Stars League - Round 1

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Al-Naft		Al-Karkh

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.10	3.00
	2.19	2.44	4.08
	1.98	3.15	3.71	Watch
	2.16	2.40	4.00
	2.05	3.05	3.78
	2.03	2.85	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)	2.83 ↓ (3.14)	3.7 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
43.3%

Draw
32.1%

Al-Karkh
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Karkh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Al Naft - Al Karkh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Caique ⚽, Gbadebo S. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Caique ⚽, Kouvouama C. M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Hien S. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.

Al-Naft might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Naft - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
01.06.26	Al-Naft - Newroz	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
19.05.26	Al-Naft - Duhok	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTTL
- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
01.06.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Najaf - Al-Karkh	2:5 ✺
15.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Karkh	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Al-Karkh - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:1
03.10.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	2:2
27.04.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	1:1
25.11.24	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	1:0
17.05.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	0:0
25.11.23	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	2:2
30.05.23	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	3:2

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