Match Info

Stars League - Round 35

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Gharraf		Al-Karkh

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.82	2.88
	2.36	2.78	2.93
	2.46	2.86	2.98	Watch
	2.45	2.63	2.9
	2.42	2.82	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharraf
37%

Draw
32.3%

Al-Karkh
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31.8%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Al Gharraf - Al Karkh Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Karkh will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Nadhim A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Soro Nanga M. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Jabbar Z. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Kuku K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7).

Al-Gharraf has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Karkh is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Gharraf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Karkh - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
10.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Duhok - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLT
- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
11.05.26	Al-Karkh - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Karkh - Zakho	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Arbil - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Karkh	1:3 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.12.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Gharraf	1:0

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