Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 23

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Al-Naft		Al-Qasim

	1	X	2
	2.11	2.8	3.7
	1.83	2.88	5.2
	1.84	2.88	5.1	Watch
	2.12	2.85	3.93	Watch
	2.11	2.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (3)	4.33 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
46.1%

Draw
32.5%

Al-Qasim
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Naft's performance.

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Qasim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Qasim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Al Naft - Al Qasim Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Naft will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Khalaf H. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent matches Al-Naft is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Qasim is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Naft could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Naft will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Naft won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Naft won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.25	Zakho - Al-Naft	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
18.02.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Al-Naft - Najaf	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Duhok - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTTL
- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Hudood	3:2 ✺
03.03.25	Al-Qasim - Najaf	1:2 ✺
Iraqi Cup
26.02.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
19.02.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Qasim	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Al-Qasim - Duhok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
06.11.24	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:0
20.05.24	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	3:2
11.07.23	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	2:0
22.06.22	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	3:0
11.01.22	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:0

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