Match Info

Stars League - Round 22

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Naft		Najaf

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6.1
	1.57	3.35	5.83
	1.62	3.31	5.76	Watch
	1.62	3	5.75
	1.69	3.4	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)	3.29 ↓ (3.55)	5.78 ↓ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
56.7%

Draw
27.6%

Najaf
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

18.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Naft that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Al Naft - Najaf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Najaf (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Najaf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Al Emwase M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 1, Harouna I. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.

Al-Naft is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Najaf has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Naft is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Zakho - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Arbil - Al-Naft	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLT
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Najaf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Najaf - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Najaf - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0
14.02.25	Al-Naft - Najaf	0:0
21.09.24	Najaf - Al-Naft	1:1
12.02.24	Al-Naft - Najaf	2:1
05.07.23	Al-Naft - Najaf	0:0
18.12.20	Najaf - Al-Naft	2:0
06.04.13	Al-Naft - Najaf	4:1

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