The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Naft 34%
Draw 31.7%
Al-Shorta 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
31.3%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
22.4%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The chances for Al-Shorta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion to AFC Champions League (Qualification)).
Recent matches Al-Naft is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Al-Shorta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Al-Shorta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Naft won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Al-Naft won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.