Match Info

Date: 8 January 2021, Friday


	Al Qadsia		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.83
	3.4	3.7	1.83
	3.2	3.6	1.95
	3.45	3.45	1.92
	3.7	3.6	1.94
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.38	3.6	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.92)	3.55 ↑ (3.42)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Qadsia
26.4%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.4%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

20.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Qadsia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Qadsia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Qadsia - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion to AFC Champions League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Al-Ahli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Ahli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Al Qadsia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Qadsia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Qadsia Kuwait
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
08.01.21	Al Qadsia - Al Tadamun	2:0 ✺
04.01.21	Al-Arabi Doha - Al Qadsia	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
02.01.21	Al Raed - Al Qadsia	2:2 ✺
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
31.12.20	Al Qadsia - Al Salibikhaet	5:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
27.12.20	Al Qadsia - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWL
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
02.01.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	0:3 ✺
27.12.20	Al Raed - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
22.12.20	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
08.03.19	Al Qadsia - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2
09.11.18	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Qadsia	0:2
09.03.18	Al Qadsia - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1
24.11.17	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Qadsia	3:0
09.02.17	Al Qadsia - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:1
15.10.16	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Qadsia	2:0
11.03.16	Al Qadsia - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2

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