Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 15

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Asia	JACO Middle East
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Canal GOAT, SporTV 2
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 8
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	on.cc
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Malaysia	SPOTV
Mexico	FOX One
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	5.5
	1.5	4.25	5.5
	1.49	4.8	5.41	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.45	4.2	5.84	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)	4.26 ↑ (3.74)	5.46 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

Al-Taawoun
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Jeddah's performance.

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Taawoun Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Al-Taawoun (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Taawoun (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
10.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Feiha	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
09.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Taawoun	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Neom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
07.05.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	2:0
07.12.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:4
09.03.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1
16.09.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	3:2
05.02.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	1:1
12.09.21	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
07.05.21	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:2

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