Match Info

Stars League - Round 28

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Qasim		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	9.6	4.65	1.26
	8.66	4.32	1.31
	8.68	4.65	1.31	Watch
	9.5	3.9	1.33
	9.7	4.25	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.23 ↑ (7.54)	4.35 ↑ (4.12)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
9.8%

Draw
20.8%

Al-Gharraf
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

22.2%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

17%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharraf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Al Qasim - Al Gharraf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Basim A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Kuku K. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Hadhri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
69', 1 - 3, Saad M. ⚽,
78', 1 - 4, Kuku K. ⚽,
87', 1 - 5, Hassan B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Al-Qasim is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Gharraf's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Gharraf is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
09.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	5:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Qasim	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Qasim - Diyala	0:4 ✺
25.03.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Newroz - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
09.04.26	Al-Naft - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Arbil	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Newroz - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
04.10.25	Al-Gharraf - Al-Qasim	0:0

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